|

WASHINGTON, DC - Voter identification requirements designed to combat fraud can
reduce turnout, particularly among minorities, a new study shows.
A study by the Eagleton Institute of Politics at Rutgers University shows
turnout in 2004 was about 4% lower in states that required voters to sign
their
name or produce documentation. Hispanic turnout was 10% lower; the
difference was about 6% for blacks and Asian-Americans.
The study, presented to the U.S. Election Assistance Commission this month,
comes as voter identification requirements are being subjected to increased
scrutiny. Two researchers last year told the Election Assistance Commission
that they found little evidence of voter fraud at polling places.
Thomas O'Neill, who led the Eagleton research team, said the new study shows
that "the harm may be as great as the benefit."
The commission's chairwoman, Donetta Davidson, called the study "premature."
More work needs to be done, she said. "You can't make determinations based
on one year," she said. "We have new states that have ID requirements now
that weren't in that review."
In 2005, Indiana enacted the nation's stiffest photo ID law. Yet turnout
increased 2% in November compared with 2002, the previous non-presidential
federal
election year.
In local races before the November elections, "we could not find one
instance where a legitimate voter could not vote," said Indiana Secretary of
State
Todd Rokita, a Republican.
Under federal law, first-time voters must verify their identity. Nearly half
the states go further, requiring some identification from all voters -
ranging
from a signature to a government-issued photo ID, which is required only in
Indiana.
Photo ID laws in Georgia and Missouri have been blocked in court. A photo ID
law in Florida allows voters to choose from many forms of identification.
Liberal groups such as Common Cause have fought the measures on claims that
they disenfranchise the poor, minorities and seniors.
Several states are considering photo ID laws this year, including
California, Colorado, Kansas, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Texas and Washington.
Most of the
efforts face substantial opposition. "We've been beating that horse for two
or three years now," said Tim Storey, an elections expert at the National
Conference
of State Legislatures. "The states that were going to do it have mostly done
it."
The Eagleton Institute research relied on data from 2004, before some of the
toughest ID laws were passed. It shows that as requirements stiffen - from
stating a name to signing it to presenting documentation - turnout drops
slightly. The researchers considered other factors, including contested
elections,
registration requirements, race, ethnicity, age, education and income. They
used a 2004 Census Bureau survey to determine racial and ethnic breakdowns.
"It validates some of the things that have been said all along about the
problems of voter ID," said Kimball Brace of Election Data Services. Taken
together
with the earlier research by Tova Wang and Job Serebrov that found little
evidence of voter fraud at polling places, it shows voter ID laws can have
more
of a negative than a positive impact, Brace said.
Advocates of tougher ID requirements cite Indiana. The state did extensive
voter education before the election and allowed voters without ID to cast
provisional
ballots, which are less likely to be counted.
"It wasn't the horrible thing that some feared," said Thor Hearne of the
conservative American Center for Voting Rights. Hearne predicted continued
support
for state ID laws if they are carefully drafted and implemented to avoid a
drop in turnout.
|